Calvin Pryor Breakdown, does he fit?

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Calvin Pryor (S) (UL)
5’11″ 207lbs 4.58 dash 34.5 vert

Strengths: Great hands and body control, which makes him a good INT threat. Aggressive player sometimes too aggressive. Plays downhill and is a “thumper” from the safety spot. If he hits you, trust me you will feel it. Recognizes offensive schemes well and plays well in zone coverage. Instinctive with his pre snap and post snap reads, quickly picks up run vs pass. He is the on field general directing traffic to his teammates constantly. Getting them into proper position and changing plays when necessary. Smart player knows the down and distance makes plays based on that. He keeps his feet and rarely dives for the legs to make tackles. He stays upright and squares up to make the tackle at the waist. He will go for the knockout blow when he can in fact he had a string of 3 games in a row where he knocked someone out of the game. In the NFL he will just have to be careful to use his shoulder pads not the crown of his helmet to avoid penalties. Oozes confidence that can help give a lift to his teammates in key moments of the game. Will get in your face and let you know when he beats you just like Burfict does.

Weaknesses: Takes bad angles at times in pursuit of RB in the open field. Bad angles over the middle of the field too does not see the blockers in time doesn’t play the cut back well. (Key play 1). His over aggressive and over confidence can put him in bad spots sometimes. Doesn’t always wrap up on his tackles because he assumes the big shot will take them down. Players are bigger and stronger in the NFL so he will need to correct that to excel at the next level. Hasn’t played much man coverage when he did he struggled a bit. (Cincy game)

Vs UCF and everyone’s main squeeze Blake Bortles

http://draftbreakdown.com/video/calvin-pryor-vs-ucf-2013/

Key plays:
1) Blown up in traffic 0:18 (picture breakdown)
2) One handed INT in endzone 0:45 (picture breakdown)
3) Blitzes QB looks at play clock to time and jump the snap count 2:15

Vs Cincinnati Bearcats

http://draftbreakdown.com/video/calvin-pryor-vs-cincinnati-2013/

1) Breaks down and tackles RDA4 1:05 (very shifty scat style back that most NFL teams have)
2) Bad angle missed tackle 2:30
3) Great read stays at home on back side forces tough throw 3:00 (picture breakdown)
4) Aggressive angle to ball, arrives to soon and gets pass interference call 4:30
5) Gets his hips turned by the QB’s eyes and gets beat deep 6:25

Final Thoughts: Pryor reminds me a lot of Tyler Eifert last year. This is not a real “need” position but if you can add a really talented player you do. If last year wasn’t enough proof that injuries always happen I don’t know what is. He would all most certainly start next to Nelson and could help on special teams if Iloka beats him out. He played on kickoff coverage in college. He is an exciting player to watch and has that “swagger” that we love from guys like Burfict. If you put him behind King Tez opposing WR’s will not want to catch balls over the middle. Most pundits think he will be long gone by the time the Bengals are on the clock. The Bengals are being smart (I know we aren’t used to this) and doing their due diligence with Pryor. The reason the NFL draft is on primetime TV is because craziness always ensues. If he is there the Bengals will strongly consider him. It’s a luxury pick but with the talent the Bengals have built on their roster they can afford to do this. The only thing that would concern me if he is picked is his lack of experience in man coverage. He has shown to be incredibly smart so I am sure he can quickly pick it up.

Follow me on twitter @codiki for daily updates and player analysis.

These screenshots came from videos from http://www.draftbreakdown.com

Combine stats courtesy of http://www.NFL.com

Cody Tewmey

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Dion Bailey Breakdown

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So Dion Bailey just visited the Bengals so he is obviously on their radar. What round is he on their radar, well that is the real question.

Dion Bailey (S) (USC)
6’0″ 201 lbs
40 yard dash: 4.66
Vertical leap 34″

Strengths: He has good maybe even great hands for interceptions. Had 3 picks in the first 8 games in 2013. Has played in two positions at a high level in college and succeeded at both, to an extent. He has good intelligence and is skilled at reading coverages. Can be an impact player with his ball skills and blitzing capability. He learns quickly from his mistakes and I doesn’t make the same mistake twice.

Weaknesses: Still a little raw at safety, only converted a year ago. Strangely enough even though he is a former LB he dives at the feet to tackle a lot, which causes missed tackles. (This started after the shoulder issue he had so maybe he was nursing/still timid about his previous injury) His instincts at safety still need work, sometimes goes into LB mode and gets beat over the top. Has some so concerns about durability(shoulder surgery). Takes some bad angles/incorrectly turns his back to the ball. Struggles with deep routes see picture breakdown of play against Oregon State for examples of both.

Key moments vs Oregon State:

http://draftbreakdown.com/video/dion-bailey-vs-oregon-state-2013/

1) Bad pass interference 0:32
2) Blown coverage 2:00 see picture breakdown above
3) Good defensive read 3:00
4) back to back plays learns from mistake let’s TE slip out then correctly covers the TE and makes an INT 5:05 see picture breakdowns below

Final thoughts:
I have seen him going as high as the 2nd round in mock drafts and as low as the 5th. I really think his ranking by team will vary widely based on the system that the team runs. Since he is a tweener his stock is drastically different for the teams that run a 3-4 and teams that run a 4-3. He is a bit underrated at strong safety so I think he could be a good value pick if he slides. As we have seen in the past drafts strong safety’s can slide as teams use their mid round picks to sure up the trenches (OL & DT) and take high upside players at DE, CB, WR and RB. As for the Bengals, I can’t see them going for him unless he slides to the 4th or beyond. This could very well happen too look at Bacarri Rambo last year he fell to round 6 pick 191 overall. This is what Gil Brant of the NFL Network said about him before the draft “Rambo is a good tackler with top-notch ball skills — he had eight interceptions in 2011.” Does that sound familiar to what I have said about Bailey…I think so, and both were coming off underwhelming years by their teams defenses. Another reason that they will likely wait until he is an extreme value is the current roster. The LB/S role is already occupied by Taylor Mays (since he is a safety turned LB as well) and Emmanuel Lamur being there as Nickel cover LB. The one person that doesn’t want to see his fellow Trojan drafted is Taylor Mays. That one year contract won’t do much to stop the Bengals from cutting him if Dion looks promising in camp. Mays will have to find a new team to wear his short shorts, tuck up his jersey to show off his abs at practice, and talk about his girlfriend on.

He is not a quitter he played hard and even worked to get better with all of turmoil of this season for USC. Let’s be frank that USC team was awful especially the defense. The only reason that stadium was 40% full was to get a good suntan. He kept working hard all year when seemingly there was nothing to play for. Things like that are important to Marvin and we’re to Zimmer, I would expect no different from Gunther. He is still a project at safety so he wouldn’t come in and start with how well George Iloka progressed last year and would have to beat out Williams. If he is taken I could see them carrying four safety’s and Mays as the LB/S injury insurance option for one year. Then going with Bailey, Williams, Nelson, and Iloka in 2015. Unless he slides a bit I can’t see them pulling the trigger on him they definitely won’t be calling his name at 55 and I don’t even think at 88. Mostly because I see him as a strong safety and with the Williams pick last year and Iloka on the roster. I see them only going safety early (SS starter) or late (Special teams help) not something in the middle. If they are staring down the barrel at him at 164 don’t be surprised if they go back to the Trojan well they used to drink from so often!

Leave your comments and feedback below, and follow me on twitter @codiki for questions about the article and other Bengals draft targets.

These screenshots came from videos from http://www.draftbreakdown.com

Combine stats courtesy of http://www.NFL.com

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Bengals 2014 Draft Targets

Here is a round by round breakdown of some guys I think the Bengals might target. I will be adding my thoughts and breakdowns as time passes. If you think there is a guy I should add just leave a comment. If you like what you see follow me on twitter @codiki for daily updates and play breakdowns.

Round 1
Kyle Fuller (CB) (VT)
6’0″ 190lb 4.49 dash 38.5 vert
For my money if he is there at 24 don’t pick up the phone, don’t listen to offers, run to the podium with his name on the card. He has NFL pedigree with both his brothers in the league, so he will have guidance from them. Has better game speed, with good recovery, then what his combine numbers would lead you to believe. Guys don’t blow by him in man coverage. He is a very willing tackler for run support. His character is top notch and was the captain of the Hokies. Instant impact guy; he is a “ball player,” throw out the numbers and put on some game tape on. You will drool over him, he can play football. Has some of the best turn and locate skills in this draft; always gets his hand on or near the ball. Put on the tape of Bama and GT and you will gas up your car to pick him up at his house if you are a Bengals fan. In GT first possession he takes on a Guard on a blitz, splits him, gets held, yet still dives and strips the QB. ( http://youtu.be/x_nAC4gisuA ) Fits the physical at their line system that the Bengals use and the AFC North demands. Fluid hips but his backpeddle can use some work. This guy WILL hit you in the mouth. He can get caught on a double move from time to time, but who doesn’t in college games.

CJ Mosley (ILB) (Bama)
6’2″ 234lb 35.5 vert
He is the guy that could shake up the Bengals plans. Will they pull the trigger and get a guy to replace Rey Rey? A lot of people in Bengaldom might celebrate this pick. He is a sure tackler but can get caught upright in the wash and get eaten up by guards getting to the second level. His narrow build also contributes to this issue. Most of the time he does a really good job of avoiding guys in traffic though, and weaves through the chaos well. Good speed, great in one on one coverage and decent pass rushing ability. Not a huge hitter but that is why he is a sure tackler, he keeps his knees bent and breaks down to tackle instead of loading up for the monster shots. He may not make Sportscenter highlights, but if you MLB doesn’t make ESPN that’s usually a good thing. That means he is making tackles and no missing them. It is not a glorified position. I mean name the top 5 MLB in each division. I bet you just went Luke Kuechly….Bueller…Bueller.  See early blitz in video he makes the sure play instead of looking for big hit. It causes incomplete pass from the QB. ( http://youtu.be/WvodZ06OXk8 ) He is a lunch pail kind of player, he just shows up and does his job. Has great instincts, ability to read the flat, and cover guys over the middle. Takes great angles and rarely misses a tackle. Has some red flags with previous shoulder, hip, and elbow injuries which have caused him to miss some games. He shows up big in big games when the lights are the brightest he is at his finest. He is a 2 time Butkus award winner. He never loafs on plays, or gives up on a play, and plays sideline to sideline. One thing that will likely cause him to slide on draft day, if he does slide, is that Bama players from defense haven’t faired well in the NFL. Most attribute that to being surrounded by talent in college and the devalued perspective on the MLB position I spoke of earlier.

Darqueze Dennard (CB) (Mich St)
5’11″ 199lb 4.51 dash
He is another guy I think the Bengals would be happy to take at 24 if he is there. It seems because of his play style the ratings team have on him varies a lot. He is a bit grabby and has some injury concerns so he could slide. I honestly think the Steelers could take him at 15. He is good in man press and is very physical. He has great balls skills and goes from defense to offense very quickly. He can be a return threat when he makes an int. Reminds me a lot of Ed Reed when it comes to his return skills, he is patient and picks his way through traffic looking for openings. He has strong hands and competes for 50/50 balls. He comes in polished with his body control and his footwork including his backpedal. His feet never seem to get tangled up (as we have all seen with Dre a few times). Great in man off the ball and man press so that really fits what the Bengals prefer to do. They almost never play zone so it’s not a big deal that he hasn’t played much a zone coverage. He stays in the WR’s back pocket and keeps them within his range and doesn’t try to bait the QB into throwing his way. This costs him opportunities at INTs but also make him more consistent, which is really what is important. He can get a bit grabby when he gets behind because he doesn’t have elite speed. He got away with it in college but I think in the NFL he will get pinged for pass interference a fair amount which can be crippling by extending drives. However his grabby, call the penalty on me if you dare mentality has worked for Seattle. See Nebraska game in video ( http://youtu.be/1_qv3NFwZkE ) He could slide to the Bengals or even further if his medical history doesn’t check out. He has had sports hernias twice that required surgery.

Jason Varrett (CB) (TCU)
5’9″ 189lb 4.38 dash 39 vert
Has quick feet and is fluid with his hips as he turns out of his backpeddle. Good initial burst out of his break. Has great instincts, reaction time, and recovery to mistakes. Don’t let his size fool you he is a junkyard dog when he does get beat will fight and scrap to get back and break up the play. He plays with tenacity and hunger to succeed. He plays the run well despite his size and is willing to come up and help make tackles in the run game. Does a good job of disguising when he is blitzing making him a good pass rushing option. see the 2:45 mark of video ( http://draftbreakdown.com/video/jason-verrett-vs-lsu-2013/ ) He held his own against top competition this year. One example is the LSU game against Odell Beckham Jr. who will be a top 15 pick. Fights for the ball in the air and does a great job of at least getting his hand in on plays to break them up. Great instincts to read run vs pass and also breaks quickly to help when the play isn’t at him. His size does cause him to not square guys up and tackle at the waste at times he dives at their feet and this causes some missed tackles. This usually only happens against bigger players so there is no telling if he is just being smart and thinks the bigger guys He can get caught up and struggle to get off of blocks by bigger guys if they get their hands on him. Does have some injury concerns with his shoulder and the miles he has on him from 4 years at TCU. I have him right on the heals of Dennard and would have him ahead of Dennard except he shares the same role as Leon in the slot. Thus drafting him would mean that you would let Leon go if he pans out so you really don’t gain depth.

Bradley Roby (CB) (OSU)
5’11″ 195lb 4.39 dash 38.5 vert
If you watch tape only from 2012 this guy doesn’t make it out of the top 10. If you watch the Wisconsin game and most of 2013 he doesn’t go in the first 2 rounds. This is why the opinions on him are so all over the board. This is why he is the true risk reward pick. He is trending up right now along with Fuller. His stock is trending up because of his high ceiling. His physical tools are unmatched in this CB class it is just a risk because on tape in 2013 he didn’t shine. He still excels in coverage and had 25 passes defended. Look at the game vs Allen Robinson and Penn St. He gets worked all game long, a simple screen play he get blocked then shoved back and it goes for 10 yards. Not as physical as I think the AFC north demands, he seems to dive for the feet on every tackle. Maybe he was playing not to get hurt in 2013, who knows? His tackling is not great in nearly every game of this years film. See 22 second mark in video ( http://draftbreakdown.com/video/bradley-roby-vs-penn-state-2013/ ) His hips and backpeddle are good and he can cover the trendy quicker slot WR’s with no problem. Struggles with larger stronger WR’s especially on 50/50 balls. Gets held up on blocks at times so not great in run support. Additionally misses tackles because he dives at the feet instead of squaring up and driving through the hips. Seems selfish when it comes to his tackling. He goes for the highlight shot at times instead of making the play that gets the defense off the field. See 10 seconds into clip, he has the QB dead red on the blind side blitz. He could easily go for a sack fumble but instead he takes a shot at his melon and misses out on the turnover opportunity. ( http://draftbreakdown.com/video/bradley-roby-vs-cal-2012/ ) Has character red flags with his suspension for ol’ Mary Jane and was thrown out of one game for targeting. I place him near Dennard/Verrett but behind them and they all trail Fuller. This guy is all about risk reward could be top 5 CB in league or continue his downward trend.

Round 2
Stephon Tuitt (DT/DE) (ND)
Jimmy Ward (SS) (NIU)
5’11″ 192lb 4.48dash 38vert
He is A sure and willing tackler I don’t think he will be there for the Bengals pick in R2 and he would be a bit of a reach at 24 so he could be a target if the trade down or out of the first into the early second. He is the best at run support in the safety class and does a pretty good job of weaving/fighting through the wash on plays. Reads the play well and breaks on the ball instinctively. Has good recovery and is a smart player that uses his shoulder pad instead of the crown of his helmet. Looks for the ball and keeps his pad level low to avoid penalties, which will be important with the new trends of flags and suspensions in the NFL. He has a small frame but doesn’t play like he controls the middle and protects his turf he will lay the wood on you for sure. Did play a lower level of competition but was also not surrounded by as much talent. One red flag is also he coming off a foot injury so that will have to be watched in the days leading up to the draft. See source for video and pics 1st pass breakup picture breakdown 1:35 second 2:50 big tackle 7:15 and int with picture breakdown 7:50 http://draftbreakdown.com/video/jimmie-ward-vs-utah-state-2013/ )

Philip Gaines (CB) (Rice)
Stanley Jean-Baptist (CB) (Neb)
Weston Richburg (C) (Col ST)
Marcus Martin (C) (USC)
Lamarcus Joyner (CB/S) (FSU)
Cyrus Kouandjio (OT) (Bama)
Round 3
Tre Mason (RB) (Auburn)
Carlos Hyde (RB) (OSU)
Antonio Richardson (OT) (Tenn)
Keith McGill (UT) (CB)
6’4″211lb 4.51 dash, 39 vert
Project type will need time but is a physical freak. All ah a Michael Johnson in 2009 type of pick at CB for this year. He is the best of the “big” corners but still needs to be molded to be an NFL CB. Has great leaping ability and length see the play breakdown where he is able to leap and break up a pass when he is 2 yards off the receiver as the ball arrives. Has such good athleticism he sometime gives too much cushion to the WR and gives up easy dig routes and back shoulder throws. His mechanics are not great so can get caught on blocks because his technique is bad or doesn’t notice the run play soon enough. He has great leaping ability and can break up plays even when he is behind the action. Played well against Shaq Thomas in the UCLA game. He is a press man guy that you would expect would play the run better but actually struggles there a bit. Needs refinement with footwork and play he is still raw and will need a year probably to play behind a vet and learn the ropes. See the pass break up play and int in the video and picture links. ( Pass breakup 1:40
Int 3:25 http://draftbreakdown.com/video/keith-mcgill-vs-ucla-2013/ )

Round 4
Zach Mettlenberger (QB) (LSU)

Loucheiz Puriofy (CB) (FL)
5’11″ 190lb 4.61dash 35.5vert
This guy looks like a project that Zimmer could whip into shape and that Marv will want to gamble on can Gunther do it as well only time will tell. Was rated as high as the 2nd at times but has seen a huge drop in his stock as the process has gone on. Measured 3″ shorter then listed at Florida at the combine and didn’t run well. He looks quick on film but is not a willing tackler. Dances around the play and let’s others come up and make the hit. Gets caught on blocks and is out muscled and can’t get off to get to the play. He is great in coverage until the catch is made then his sketchy tackling can rear it’s ugly head. See 25 secs in bottom of screen. RB headed right at him and he tries to arm tackle and whiffs ( http://draftbreakdown.com/video/loucheiz-purifoy-vs-arkansas-2013/ )
I think if he slides to the 5th I am ok with him as a project and slot cover guy. The one thing you can’t teach is the willingness to hit and I don’t think he has that. He does have good mechanics as he gets into coverage, does a good job with his hips and can easily open them to stay with WR on deep routes. Good hands to intercept and has some playmaking after the catch and did some PR work at Florida. He will be drafted for his athleticism and to be coached up.

Round 5
Jordan Zumwalt (ILB) (UCLA)
6’4″ 235lb 4.76dash 33 vert
He is a fiesty character and a tough competitor but he is basically the vanilla ice of football. The man that blew up Logan Thomas into the next century in the Sun Bowl. If you don’t know what I am talking about click here and enjoy ( http://youtu.be/w611j4vXtpk )
He is a strong tackler when he gets to the right spot he does take good angles most of the time. Has good knee bend and breaks down for tackles. Loads up for highlight real hits which also cause him to miss at times in the open field. He is a football player and lives to play the game that definitely shows and plays best when the lights are on the big stage. Not great in coverage limited range due to lack of speed and can get beat to the edge by quick backs and miss the point of attack. Does not have the strength and thump on most hits to drive back the bigger backs. In the pros he will likely be a special teams ace and fill in guy at linebacker. Has and can play all three positions in a pinch. The Bengals could look at him to be the Dan Skuta replacement.

Round 6
Aaron Colvin (OK) (CB)
5’11″ 177lb 4.51 dash at senior bowl
Torn ACL probably out most of year 2-3rd round talent slipped due to injury at senior bowl.
Richard Sherman clone VERY physical corner not afraid to come up and make a tackle. Experienced with 36 starts in a power conference. Versatile played both CB and SS in college.
Round 7
Aaron Lynch (DE) (USF)

Leave your comments and feedback below and follow me on twitter @codiki

Keith McGill Breakdown

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Keith McGill (UT) (CB)
6’4″ 211lbs
40 yard dash 4.51
Vertical leap 39″

Strengths:
He has great length and speed for a bigger CB. He has great leaping ability and can break up plays even when he is behind the action. (Showcased in breakdown) Versatile player and could end up as a corner or a safety in the NFL. He has been compared to Richard Sherman because he is so big, it’s safe to say if he ends up to be 95% the player Sherman is he will be a good player. With his size he is ideal to cover the bigger WRs and TEs that split out wide in today’s style of play. With his height and leaping ability if he works on his skills to be great at coverage he will win every 50/50 ball that is thrown his way. He has the potential to be a shut down corner in 2-3 years.

Weaknesses:
He has such good athleticism he sometime gives too much cushion to the WR and gives up easy dig routes and back shoulder throws. His mechanics are not great so can get caught on blocks because his technique is bad or doesn’t notice the run play soon enough. He is great as a press man corner so you would expect would play the run well but he actually struggles in the run game, that will have to be coached up. He comes in with similar footwork concerns like Dre did when he came out. For a big corner he is not strong against the run. He transferred to Utah from Junior college so has limited time at the top level of college football. Had some injuries early in his career so that may concern teams, shoulders can be troubling and linger for secondary players.

Game Breakdown vs UCLA

http://draftbreakdown.com/video/keith-mcgill-vs-ucla-2013

Key plays
1) Pass breakup 1:40
2) Pass coverage interception 3:25

Bengals Outlook:
He is project type that will need time to learn but he is a physical freak. Similar to a Michael Johnson in 2009 type of pick at the CB for this year. He is the best of the “big” corners but still needs to be molded to be an NFL CB. He could still contribute in year one because of his athletic ability he can make up for errors as shown in the breakdown above. He is a great fit with the Bengals for multiple reasons. He is really big, has abnormally long arms, and he is good in man press coverage. This is the Bengals preferred defensive set so his learning curve will be reduced. He is probably a year away from starting because he is raw, good thing is they don’t “need” a CB right now they just need to get younger. They still have Adam Jones and Terrance Newman but they are getting long in the tooth but, have shown they can and will help out young CBs. He could learn behind them and play special teams some situational packages like Hunt did last year. With his size he could end up at safety or corner at the next level. This is why he is the perfect pick in the 2nd round for the Bengals. When Marvin actually says something in a press conference what does he talk about as it pertains to personnel…versatility of the players. He played well against Shaq Thomas in the UCLA game which shows he can play against top competition. Coach Joseph will have his work cut out for him if they make this pick. This is the biggest thing that concerns me with his game. We have all seen how much Dre has struggled to improve his footwork. However, if they go a different direction in the 1st round beside a DB and he is available at pick 55 he will get serious consideration. Could McGill be the next 2nd round Gem that the Bengals uncover? Only time will tell…..

Leave your comments and feedback below or tweet me, I welcome discussion on the article.
Follow me on twitter @codiki for questions about the article and other Bengals draft targets.
These screenshots came from videos from http://www.draftbreakdown.com
Combine stats courtesy of http://www.NFL.com

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Jimmy Ward Breakdown

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Target pick 30-38 overall

If the Bengals trade back this is the guy to pair next to Reggie Nelson for the long haul. And below is why…..

Jimmy Ward (SS) (NIU)
5’11″ 192lb 4.48dash 38vert
He is A sure and willing tackler I don’t think he will be there for the Bengals pick in R2 and he would be a bit of a reach at 24 so he could be a target if the trade down or out of the first into the early second. He is the best at run support in the safety class and does a pretty good job of weaving/fighting through the wash on plays. Reads the play well and breaks on the ball instinctively. Has good recovery and is a smart player that uses his shoulder pad instead of the crown of his helmet. Looks for the ball and keeps his pad level low to avoid penalties, which will be important with the new trends of flags and suspensions in the NFL. He has a small frame but doesn’t play like he controls the middle and protects his turf he will lay the wood on you for sure. Did play a lower level of competition but was also not surrounded by as much talent. One red flag is also he coming off a foot injury so that will have to be watched in the days leading up to the draft.
See source for video and pics 1st pass breakup picture breakdown 1:35 second 2:50 big tackle 7:15 and int with picture breakdown 7:50 http://draftbreakdown.com/video/jimmie-ward-vs-utah-state-2013/ )

Leave your comments and feedback below and follow me on twitter @codiki

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