Week 4 Picks ATS

Week 4 Picks

Dolphins @ Raiders
Here is the skinny on this game, the Raiders are bad, really bad, but they played ok against the Patriots last week. The public see the Patriots as the team they were 3 years ago not this team.  They are a low ranking offense and have played bad team, like the Raiders.  The Raiders have also traveled to the east coast 2 straight weeks and now are in London, you do the math that’s about 20,000 miles in a few weeks.  They will be happy to get back to their homes in Oakland and sleep in their beds as soon as this game starts to go south.  They have one; yes one, touchdown that didn’t come in garbage time.  This Raiders team is way worse then the public thinks.  I actually like both the game and 1st half lines for the Dolphins, double dip on this game if you are feeling frisky.  The internal issues with the Dolphins are overblown; the Dolphins were 7 point favorites in this game just a week ago.  I have said this before and it’s paid you out, Vegas is never 4 points off.  This Dolphins line manhandled the Pats team just 3 weeks ago.

Cody Says: Lay the points 1st Half DOLPHINS -3 full game DOLPHINS -3.5

Packers @ Bears
The Bears are decimated by injuries and that doesn’t bode well against Aaron Rodgers when he is looking for a bounce back game.  The Bears secondary is now being lead by a rookie, Kyle Fuller is good, but he’s still a rook. Rodgers will exploit that and this defense can be run on, Lacy will finally get going this week.  The Bears are on a short week and it will be too much for them to cover the number.  The Packers know they can’t fall to 1-3; desperation will take over, the Pack will win this one pretty handily.

Cody Says: Lay the Points PACKERS -2

Lions @ Jets
The Lions have Megatron, and a Jets DB said he will shut him out this week. If you didn’t already know this the Jets secondary is trash and now they poked the bear that is Megatron.  Look for him to go bonkers on them.  They Jets can win games when Geno has to throw a lot, and since they wont be able to run on the Lions defense that will happen.

Cody Says: Lay the points LIONS -2.5

Saints @ Cowboys
The Saints are still being bet as people hang on to the fact that they were a SB favorite coming out of the preseason. The Cowboys have drafted offensive linemen in the last few drafts and that has helped their running game.  The Saints can’t tackle a pee wee team; take the points for the home dog.  Teams coming off being a dog, then they are favored in the next week they rarely cover.  The Saints home vs. Road splits are much larger then any other teams as favorites outside of the Superdome they a much different team.  The Road teams when Sean Peyton is the coach cover just over 12% of the games, I am taking the home team and the points.

Cody Says: Take the points COWBOYS +3

Falcons @ Vikings
The Falcons are getting bet like crazy after blowing out the worst team in the league last week. They lose the advantage of the Thursday night game because Cassel got hurt on Sunday; any game plan they put in was lost. Bridgewater is not only a better QB he is much different, you can’t just blitz him blindly he can run and make you pay.  Look for the Vikings to keep this close at home and cover.  If you feel really lucky take the moneyline, I think they might win outright.

Cody Says: take the home dog VIKINGS +3

Patriots @ Chiefs
The Patriots offense is grossly overrated, I know, I know, it’s Brady; he’s like Moses in Chow-da-land. Well, I live with facts, his numbers are down this year his yards per throw are way below his career numbers.  That’s all against bad teams, just like my winning pick last week with the Giants last week, turnover differential has saved the Pats against bad teams.  Alex Smith will protect the rock, and thus the Chiefs will cook up a cover.

Cody Says: CHIEFS +3.5

Jaguars @ Chargers
The Jaguars have skunked me 3 weeks in a row, but I am not giving up on them. With Bortles at the helm now the Jaguars will be much better on offense.  The Chargers lost nearly all of their running backs and will likely sleep on the Jaguars this week.  The Jaguars won’t win this game but a backdoor, garbage time TD will make sure they cover the number.

Cody Says: Take those juicy points JAGUARS +13.5

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